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Articles

Artificial Intelligence : A Specter

Dt:  22/4/25

Artificial Intelligence : A Specter

T.H.Chowdary*

A specter is haunting the intelligentsia of the world,  the specter of  Artificial Intelligence (AI) .  Computers can learn, just as humans, if they are fed information, data .  They can analogue m argue,  write, papers,  speak, teach, solve problems; they can even read our thoughts.  It has taken thousands of years for humans to acquire the knowledge and  intelligence the best among them have acquired.  The process is called evolution .  But does evolution stop with humans.  If it does not stop with humans, what will they become next?  Sage Aurabindo speculated, that man will become super man ! Indian lore tells us  that some of our sages became Bhramarishis, like Viswamitra who created Trisanku , a Swarga, heaven ! 

2. Artificial intelligence, creation of men is infesting every exertion and creation of men. It makes men and nations more  prosperous and  powerful and  therefore  there is a race between  leading nations, especially, between the  USA and China .

3. The USA and China are furiously engaged in the  development of AI to excel one another as the world’s super power and the most prosperous nation.  What is involved in this and where  does Bharat stand is presented in this  article.

4. Increase in GDP due to use of  AI between 2020 and 2030 is estimated  by Price Water House Corporation to rise by 14% ( $ 16 tln).  The table below shows in which region, how much will rise (  Increase as in GDP by 2030 Resulting from AI)

Increase in GDP by 2030 resulting from AI

Source:  Price Waterhouse Coopers, Sizing the Prize, 2017

China, the USA and  Japan together account for 78% of all AI patents filing in the  world and

for half the  world’s spending on the Internet of  Things (IOT).

Geographical Distribution of Spending on Internet of Things , 2019

( % Share of Worldwide Total)

5. A report from Oxford Economics  states “On average a new robot displaces  nearly twice as many jobs in lower income regions compared with higher income regions  of the  same country. 

At a time of worldwide concern about growing level of  economic inequality and political polarization, this finding  has important social and political  implications (P 112).

6. It is estimated that AI-related products and services will cause a 16 trillion dollar increase in global GDP ( in 2025 $ 106 trln) by 2030.  The Chinese intend to capture  $7 trln, while North America’s share will be lower at $ 3.7 tln.

7. China is the Saudi Arabia of Data.. If AI is the new electricity, big data is the  oil that power  the generators.  And as China’s vibrant and unique internet ecosystem took off after 2012, it turned to be the world’s top producer of the petroleum  for the  age of Artificial Intelligence .

8.  Nuralink:  Elan Musk, founder of SpaceX and CEO of Tesla has invested in Brain -Machine  Interfaces (BMI research with the  objective of merging the  fields of robotic surgery, neuroscience and AI.  The hope is for robots to  surgically implant miniscule BMI chips in the brain to augment memory and  analytical capabilities.

9. India produced a whopping 2.6 mln Science Technology Engineering Mathematics (STEM) graduates in 2016, second only to China and  more than four times than the  USA .  It is  projected to produce 18 mln in 2027.

Comparative performance of India  and  China between 1950  and 2021 is:

10. We may console and flatter ourselves over the fact that we have  scores of political parties while China has only one  and politics is the best business /commerce  to become millionaires and  pass on the  wealth and power to our  Parivar.

11. Bain & company predicts that by 2030, US employees will need  twenty to thirty million fewer workers than in 2021.  May be, that is why President Donald Trump is  hounding out undocumented and  unwanted  foreigners.

12. Dr Malhotra opines that the  investment of Face Book and  Google in Sri Mukhesh Ambani’s Reliance companies  may lead Bharat to slide into  digital slavery with useless masses and happy morons ensures it an honourable place in history (226)  ( But if we have the likes of Sonia, Rahul, Mamata, Wadra..?)

China shunned them and   developed their  Chinese rivals .

In 2007, China had no highspeed rail lines. Yet by 2019 it had more miles of these than the rest of the world combined (P12).  It has its own space station, the Tiangong (P 12) .

A nation is great not by its size alone.  It is the  will, the cohesion, the stamina, the  discipline of its  people  and the   quality of their leaders

– Lee Kuan You

13. A recent Stanford (USA) Report gives the following information:

·         Investments attracted during 2013-24 into development of AI.

·         Research papers on AI in 2024.

·         Startups in 2024

14. What I have recorded in this narrative  is what  Dr. Rajiv Malhotra India’s intellectual warrior in the  USA has after extensive studies postulated as to what is  in store for the world  especially China, USA an d India.  He thinks that  the partnership of  India’s Reliance companies with Face Book and Google is injurious to India. May be that is why he is not honoured with a Padma award.

(830 words)

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