Memoranda for Submission to the Chief Ministers of the Two Telugu States.

Telecom Engineering

R-Jio in the Information Market

Dt:  12/9/16

 

R-Jio in the  Information Market

 

Dr T.H.Chowdary*

 

The much publicised and for long-expected launch of 4G services by Reliance Jio is rattling the incumbent Telcos and  raising  tantalising expectations in consumers of information-telephony, text, video and  data.  R-Jio says it invested over Rs. 1,25,000 crores in the past five-years to build its all –India network of radio base stations (RBS’s) including antenna mounted towers and the  optical fiber transmission cables connecting them to switching centers. R-Jio promises free telephony  and all types of information services at “superfast” speed, at rates incredibly lower than those of its incumbent rivals, chiefly Bharti Air Tel, Vodafone, Idea Cellular and  BSNL. Anticipating the  low prices touted by R-Jio, incumbents have announced reduced tariffs and BSNL among them, the government –owned consistently loss-making ( for the last several years) customer-losing PSU boldly boasts that it would compete price-wise with R-Jio. Of course, only a PSU can afford to be immortal despite haemorrhaging losses, as the  owner, G.O.I has limitless power to fund losses.  Let us examine the claims of  R-Jio about its  low prices, market share and  durability.

 

2. The first issue is can private sector company price its  services below costs. A government –owned company can do so by asserting that  subsidised  service are  “public goods” like electricity for farmers and the poor; intra-city rail and  road transport and  food-grains, cooking gas and so on. A private sector company has to at least recover costs which include debt-servicing and depreciation. It appears that the  tariffs R-Jio is indicating will not produce the  revenues which can meet costs.

 

3. R-Jio has competitors. Prices below costs are termed predatory –pricing. We  have the TRAI and  Competitions Commission which are  statutory  bodies.  Will they allow predatory pricing.  The accounts of Telcos are  liable to audit scrutiny by the  Comptroller and  Auditor General (CAG)  of India. He has already subjected P-Telcos’ accounts to audit by him on the  ground  that  revenue-sharing condition of the  licences entitles CAG audit of the “adjusted” revenues of P-Telcos.  Predatory pricing affects not only non R-Jio P-Telcos but more disastrously, the  state-owned BSNL.

 

4. Yet one more factor is market-share.  R-Jio hopes to have 90% of information consumers to itself.  The TRAI as well Competitions Commission will step in to contain the  market share within the legally capped 60%.

 

5. When Face Book offered “Free Basics” at zero price  for certain websites, the  company  was denounced as violating net neutrality by preferential access to  and use of  some only websites.  Its declared intention of connecting the  unreached millions was ridiculed. It would be interesting what the  warriors for “ net neutrality” would say about the predatory pricing  by R-Jio ( zero price offered by Face Book was also could be termed predatory).

 

6. Entry of Reliance into any segment of any marketed service has always been disruptive and threatening. Reliance’s revenues are  more than those of many State governments (so it’s debt too).  Just as denizens of a forest quake when a lion on prowl roars, so are the incumbent P-Telcos rattled as R-Jio is stalking the  market. But India is a land  where laws rule and not lions. So, it  would be interesting  to watch the  spectacular drama where  the actors besides R-Jio are  other P-Telcos, BSNL, TRAI, the Competitions Commission, the  Government and Parliament of India . (545 words)

END