Memoranda for Submission to the Chief Ministers of the Two Telugu States.

National Security

Sustainable Welfare – Political Parties’ Policies

Dt:  23/11/12

 

Sustainable Welfare – Political Parties’ Policies

Dr T.H.Chowdary  *

 

India has been spending  increasingly on various types of  welfare for the  aam aadmi. In 1969 it all started with the stirring and electrifying call, garibhi hatao. The initial shots were the  natinalisation of banks and coal mines etc.  Priority sectors were defined and  nationalised banks and others were set  targets for disbursing loans to sections of people who were earlier not getting easy credit. 

2. Housing for the  poor was undertaken. Public distribution system through which  subsidized rice and  wheat  (food grains) sugar, kerosene, pulses and sometimes  even cloth like sarees were also  being  given. A special category of   ration cards with white color were given to the   “below  poverty line (BPL)” families.

3.  Fertilizer ,seeds and other inputs for farmers are given at subsidized rates. Electricity is  given either free or at nominal rates to farmers and rural  folks.  Concessional rates are  applied for commuters like students and aged people.  Pensions are given to Widows and the  old and periodically enhanced. Arogyasree, free schooling and fee reimbursement at the post matriculation stage are introduced. NREG alone is incurring an expenditure of about  Rs. 50,000 cr per year.  Loans to  farmers and other sections are  being  periodically waived.  For self- help groups, for one crore women in Andhra Pradesh pavala vaddi (3%) interest rate loans of Rs. 1 lakh per person were introduced and now they have  morphed into interest-free loans. Loans for students amounted to over  Rs. 50,000 cr in the last few years. Many are becoming NPAs of

 

banks.  In Andhra Pradesh the total number of  Indiramma houses for  the poor seem to be working out to nearly 2 cr meaning that over 8 cr out of  8.5 cr  population are  living in  government built houses  for the poor. Certain governments are  giving TV sets, laptops, bicycles, mangalasuthra,  10g gold, mixi grinders, Rs25,000 for marriage  expense  and pilgrimage to Jerusalem; for the Haj pilgrimage over Rs. 900 cr were spent in the year 2011-12 and every year this is increasing by about 10%. Besides, in the  name of  minority   welfare, government  funds are being   allotted for   repair & maintenance of Churches &Mosques. To please the majority community, some state governments are subsidizing pilgrimages and teertha yatras.

4.  It is  estimated that  central & state governments are spending  Rs. 5lakh cr per year on various welfare schemes and subsidies. Central government  is  raising loans to the   extent of  Rs. 5 to 7 lakhs per year ( Rs. 2000 cr per day).  The interest  payments are  the  largest single  item of expenditure exceeding what is spent upon defense even.  The debt of Discoms had gone up from Rs. 41,000cr  in2001 to Rs. 1,90,000 cr by 2012.

5. As a result of  these increasing  expenditures  on welfare, investments in infrastructure like  high ways,  railways, ports, hospitals,  educational  institutions,    airports and sea ports,  cold storages, and ware -houses are all neglected. And the worst that is happening to  India is  inadequate expenditure on defense and  internal security  with the  result that  the chiefs of our armed  forces have publicly stated that they would not be able to withstand the aggression from the north and much worse if that aggression is supplemented  by aggression from the  west that is Pakistan.   Internal security is another  causality. There are more private security guards in the country ( about 50 lakhs) than the  police. The CRPF  and such  paramilitary organisations are  also starved of men and funds.

6. The western countries had come to the  current levels  of  welfare  over a period of   100 years. Their  GDPs had grown and they are the  richest counties in the  world, members of the OECD. Can India  afford the current levels of welfare?

7. In the Peoples  Republic  of China by adopting the one-child norm they had  contained the population growth and therefore they had been able to  increase the  PCI very rapidly. In the last 10 years alone their  PCI increased from  $800 to 4000 $.  China has now become the second largest  economy in the world superseding Japan & Germany and  Great Britain, France and Italy. They have  built  75,000 kmts  of  4 & 6 lane  high ways, double the length in US. It has been able to   extend its rail lines to the  highest city in the world, Lhasa  introducing  trains with pressurized  air  and oxygen supply. Marvels of  railway lines like Meglev between Pudong (Shanghai) and its  airport had been built. Its  defense forces are challenging the  mighty US.  China has lifted  the 60% of the BPL people into prosperity. The BPL there is now under 12%  compare to India’s  25 %to 35% ( according to  various estimates). It is only now that China is giving permission to have a second child,  the criterion being their income levels. 

8. In India welfare is being extended indiscriminately irrespective of the number  of children  a family is having . This is leading to the   assertion, “it is our right to produce children;  it is the duty of the  government to feed, cloth educate, house and give  employment”. This is unsustainable.  Our population is increasing by over 16 mln/year, whereas in no year in the  past could we create more than 10 mln jobs.

9. Political parties are  competitively promising more and more welfare, to ever more sections, even resorting to community and religion-specific freebies and give-aways.  Those in the  opposition are promising write-off of loans, and enhancement of all give-aways.  The debt burden of the  nation, the NPAs of banks number of the  educated” unemployed, unemployable “certified but not qualified” graduates inequality, entitlement-demanding persons…are all increasing. Unemployment an d inequality promote instability and unrest in the  country. There will be increasing number of small groups battling for entitlement, more welfare, more  reservations and more  representation.

10. The Citizens  Forum  would like the intelligentsia, especially those in  political parties  to deliberate upon the issues raised in the   above  paragraphs and  request governments and leaders of  political parties and the  public in general to adopt policies to create wealth more rapidly than it is distributed. (914 words)

END