Articles
Are Assam, West Bengal and Kerala lost to Bharat?
Dt:6/5/21
Are Assam, West Bengal and Kerala lost to Bharat?
Dr T H Chowdary*
In the 1940s leading to the division of the country and creation of the Islamic state of Pakistan the war cry of the Muslim residents of India was,
ladke lenge Pakistan
haske lenge Hindusthan
It appears that their second wish is on the way to be realized . As long ago as in Dec 2000 one Prof .Samar Abbas wrote in the leftist journal, Economic and Political Weekly (EPW) that India should be partitioned again to create Mughalistan comprising of the western areas of Assam northern areas of West Bengal, Bihar and UP and Punjab so that this belt will be third Islamic state in the Indian subcontinent . He wrote that the insecurity of the Muslim residents of India can be ended only by creating a third Islamic state which will be contiguous with Bangladesh in the East and on the West Pakistan . The communists in India since the party was born in 1920s have always been solicitous of the Muslims’ demand for separate state (s) on the Stalin’s theory of the Right of Nationalities for Self-Determination. It is this ideological position of the communists that has been facilitating the infiltration of Bangladeshi Muslims into Bengal, Assam and now -a-days into Kerala also.
2. Lets look at the changes of the demography. Immediately after partition with the movement of minorities across the eastern borders of India that is from West Bengal into east Pakistan ( Bangladesh now) the Muslim population in West Bengal was 18% . It increase 25.20% by 2001 and to 38% by 2021. It was 28% before partition . By now they are about 38%. This huge increase happened both by furious proliferation (large number of children per family) of native Muslims and facilitated infiltration of east Pakistan /Bangladeshi Muslims into West Bengal. The Congress government between 1947 and 64 in West Bengal was complacent about the infiltration. The communist rule in West Bengal for 34 years between 1967 and 2011 was the period when the infiltration of the Bangladeshi Muslims was viewed with approval because these were constituted into vote banks for the communist parties. The communists were ousted from power by the fire breathing Mamata Banerjee. She adopted the same means that is , violence and intimidation to snatch power from the communists in 2011 . To increase her vote bank she patronaged the Muslims local as well as infiltrating ones and constituted them into assured vote banks so there was competition between communists and Trinamul Congress for the Muslim vote. This contributed for the proliferation of the Muslim population with a number of districts turning into Muslim majority even. With 38% assured Muslim vote the remaining 62% are the addressable voters by the contending parties. With the communist parties and the Congress getting decimated, the contest is between the TMC and the BJP. The Muslim/ communists votes are going to the TMC, because of the intense hatred of these two sections of people for the BJP which is held by them to be Hindu party. If the BJP is to come to power it must get 51% of the total vote. That means 51 out of 62 over 82% of the Hindu vote. This seem to be almost impossible . In aversion to the BJP, the communists and the Congress men voted for their lesser enemy the Trinamul Congress in 2021 elections. The BJP is left with 38.13% of the votes polled . It appear that the majority of the BJP MLAs in West Bengal are from the SCs in considerable number . Most of these people are who had fled from East Pakistan /Bangladesh . It appears that is impossible for the BJP to oust the Trinamul Congress, Communists, Congress combine as has happened now unless over 80% of Hindus’ vote for the BJP. Can it become possible?
3. Assam had always been the target of the Muslim League before 1947 to get included in East Pakistan. In the 1940s there was a Muslim League Chief Minister Sadullah in Assam . Both his regime and British facilitated the infiltration of East Bengal Muslims into Assam . That was Sylhet became a Muslim majority district . While no referendum was held in Hindu majority Thar Parkar district of Sindh Province whether they would like to be in Pakistan or India, a referendum was held in Sylhet whether the people would remain in India or go to East Pakistan. In effect it bent the betrayal of Thar Parkar Hindus and favouring of the Muslims in Sylhet district. The Muslim majority of Sylhet voted for to go to Pakistani . Then during the congress regime in Assam Fakhreddin Ali Ahmed who was a Minister in Assam’s cabinet facilitated the infiltration of East Pakistani Muslims into Assam. Successive Congress governments also turned a blind eye to this infiltration . The Muslim population in Assam swelled to about 35% now from under 24% in 1951 . If the BJP led government in Assam can weed out the illegal Muslim entrants by strict application of CAA and NPR the illegals could be got rid off and Assam saved. But it is going to be a very difficult task. The Muslims in Assam are openly organized into a Islamist party - All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) under Maulana Badruddin Azmal. Assam is now precariously situated as regards non-Muslims remaining a majority.
4. In Kerala Hindus used to be nearly 65% in the early 1950s. They are now reduced to about 52%. The Bangladeshi Muslim infiltration has been going on to Kerala unobstructed by the UDF of Congress and Muslim League and also by the LDF of the communist parties. The Rohingyas of Bengal speaking Muslims fleeing Myanmar did not go to Delhi and Jammu only but they are making their way into Kerala also. It appears that within a few years the Hindu population will be less than 50%. And of them about 20% are SCs; half of them are perhaps already out of the Hindu fold by conversion but not disclosing that fact. Therefore the addressable Hindu voters constitute 30%; of them how many would be for BJP and for communist parties. Therefore even Kerala is going to be a non-Hindu majority state.
5. This hard and bitter facts must make Hindus and nationalists of Bharat as to how the political parties in India should be shaped inorder to avoid the disaster of three more Islamic states of India (Assam, Bengal, Kerala ) becoming non-Hindu majority and be itching for secession .(1022 words)
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